xr86yp295m Forex Leader

We're flyin' !

August 25, 2009

Well look at this (pic just taken):



And what's even better, you'll notice there are only 9 trades taken, so one is missing here (because of an error message). But it was taken in my own account, it's gbpaud. I eventually got out of this one at +300 personnally, but it is currently at +322 as you can see here, this is my real account, search for the red arrow, you'll see where it entered:



So in the total balance, you should add +322 right now, for a total of + 1,224 ! I keep saying this over and over, but these trades aren't even 1 week old.... And as I'm typing this the +902 is now +973..........

Sunday open

August 23, 2009

Well last week was pretty slow but we managed to close on Friday at just under +500, as you can see below:



I've been extremely busy with, among other things, forward testing my scalpers. I metnioned it before that I have done some massive back-testing and am now forward testing, and I must say I'm "impressing myself", that is, the results are even better forward than back - and they were already impressive in back-tests. I'll keep you posted as to the progress and as soon as I'm truly satisfied, I'll upload them to my blog.

Alright less than 5 minutes to market open (at last !!!) I find week-ends SO LONG sometimes, you wouldn't believe it.

Let's wish ourselves another GREAT WEEK OF TRADING !

24 hours later

August 17, 2009

Well, what can I say? It just can’t get any easier than that. I just took this pic a couple of minutes ago (trending platform):

Week opening

August 16, 2009

Well, even though I had to start everything from scratch last week, we closed the week on Friday with about +250 trending and -250 ranging.

Markets opend a little earlier and currently trending is at +285 and ranging at -380, so I'm still going with the trending in my account at the moment and will watch and see what happens.

Here's the trending right this very minute:

Technical glitches

August 11, 2009

Major electrical problems here the past few days grrrrrrr, had to have an Expert Electrician come and do things in our back yard then it was my modem doing stupid things like resetting then it was my internet provider - had to call 3 times and speak with 3 different technicians who diagnosed 3 DIFFERNT problems. Fortunately, everything seems to be fine NOW (can you feel I'm a tad little tweeny bit TENSE ?!?)

In the trending platform, if everything went well at your end, you should currently be in 3 trades since the beginning of the week: eurgbp long, usdjpy short and audusd short, all in very nice profit. I missed all three because of the "no power" situation, which caused the trades in which I was earlier (last week) to NOT close and of course, no new trades were taken.

So now that everything is back to normal, I'll wait and see where things are headed, just like any of you who would be just starting. See, even though you've got problems, or error messages or electrical problems or whatever, you can ALWAYS restart as markets are constantly moving. It does set you back a bit, but as I keep saying, there will always be another trade tomorrow (yes, yes, except on Fridays !!).

Keep you posted,

Friday close

Another one is now behind us, I can’t believe how time really flies. As you will have seen if you’re following this system, it was another trending week, and a good one at that, except maybe for audusd which went totally berserk in the middle of the week. But now the difference between the 2 platforms has narrowed substantially, trending closing at +160 and ranging at –250. I’m still personally in one trade – the last one which was taken at 15:00 this afternoon (Friday) currently at –1, with all my other trades closed.

I wasn’t as active in my blog this week as I am doing some collaborative work on another project (back testing and forward testing) for a third party. And next week will be the same, but I’m sure you won’t mind, I do have a big mouth and tend to babble anyway hehehehh. But be assured I will drop by a few times to let you know how things are going. For those who want to know “how to” see where things are headed, I currently still have 1 open trade based on the trending platform, and will open the week with that platform since the difference between the 2 is still +200 BUT as I mentioned, the difference has narrowed so depending on what I see at the beginning of the week, I’ll either continue with the trending or shut down my bots if I see the difference narrowing further and wait till I see clear direction again.

Have a super great week-end all and see you at market open at 17:00 EST sharp !!!

Beauty !

August 4, 2009




Can't say any thing else but....... what a beauty !

New week ahead

Aug 3, 2009

Another glorious week ahead of us.

The trending platform opened yesterday (Sunday) with a balance of +460 (and the ranging was around -560). Now Monday, when I got up about 15 minutes ago, here is where things are at (taken @ 11:52 am EST):




... no comments required ;-)

How do you manage SLs?

July 30, 2009

How do you manage SLs?

As you know, entries are easy because they’re automatic. No decision whatsoever on your part. The difficult part (if you decide to manage your trades once they’re taken) is the exit.

The very first thing I do once a trade is in profit is I wait for it to be at a reasonable distance from my entry and then I move my SL to BE + 1 (Break-Even + 1 pip) BE because the trade is now secured and +1 simply because it makes me feel good to know that this trade will at least have made me a pip. Now, what do I mean by “reasonable distance”? This will vary depending on the pair - closer for less volatile, farther for more. For instance, for audusd I'd go with 15 and gbpjpy 30.The advantage of doing this is you rapidly secure your trade. The disadvantage is if you do this too early, price might come and take out your SL and then continue on its grand ascension to +300 pips leaving you sorry (but at 1 pip, not zero, let’s be positive now!)

Then a bit later, I’ll move my SL in this way:

First I look at S/R lines and often I’ll move my SL under or over these.

If I don’t have clear S/R lines (that happens) then I also look at the COG (Center of Gravity) to get a feel of general direction for that specific pair. You can see it instantly with this indicator. I check where the price is in relation to the COG and decide on an SL depending on various factors. Here in my example below, you can see I moved it directly on the pivot line (white) because I didn’t have any good S/R lines:



You can see by the COG that this pair is going up and it * might * come close to the pivot but there's a good chance it'll continue going up before it reaches this point.

So that trade has already put 123 pips into my pocket (it’s currently at +190). Support lines (blue) have now appeared (a few hours later) so what I’ll do it move my SL right under there at 1.7921 for a secured profit of +167 pips and then "let her fly" !

FAQ

July 29, 2009

Alright the FAQ is now available. Simply click FAQ on the right menu. After reading it, you’ll understand what I’m writing below.

So as I wrote on Monday, nothing much was happening and both platforms were about even (a few pips here, minus a few pips there). Then when I got up Tuesday morning (well noon, I should say) the trending was up by about +300 and the ranging down by about the same. So that would be your cue for a go or a “continue” if you were already trading the trending. I was actually a bit late because I got up so late, but that’s life. In the FAQ, I mentioned about a 200 difference between the 2 platforms was usually good enough, depending on market volatility, day of the week, etc. OK, then today (Wednesday) the trending is currently (14:27 EST time) up at +600 as you can see below.


Upcoming FAQ

July 27, 2009

Nothing much happening today on the markets YAWN ! lol.

Today I worked on the FAQ and am happy to report things are going well. I still need for the people who sent in questions for which I answered to give me the "OK" to post their questions and probably tomorrow I'll have the first version of the FAQ on here. I think it'll help many of you to understand the approach better.

Other than that I finally did upload my famous pip calculator and cost of trade Excel spreadsheet to the download link, so go get it and have fun!

Looks like this (with prices updating in real time which I find mucho cool heheh):

Back from vacation !!!

July 25, 2009

Back from vacation, phew! What a week !

Just started answering emails etc. I’ve still got a lot to do, but wanted to at least post to my blog.

Last week-end, when we decided to travel, my husband made me promise I wouldn’t bring my lap-top along. This took A LOT of negotiations. I’ll tell you, but I finally gave in. If you’ve read up to here, you know I’m a trading addict so a whole week away was like not even a possibility. But I do have a live outside trading, and I keep telling you guys you need to be patient, there will be another trade opportunity tomorrow (etc etc) so I took a bit of my own medicine and left WITHOUT (I still can’t believe I did it) my lap-top. And I made it !

When markets opened last Sunday, I was going for a trending week and took 2 trades (the gbpusd and gbpchf shorts) not knowing I was going to leave. So I put those 2 on trailing stops (25 each) and turned the bots off when we left. They went into profit. Now after analyzing (eyeballing I should say) what happened during the week, my call for trending wasn’t the best call of my life. It seems Tuesday and especially Wednesday were up-down-up-down causing re-crosses (those I totally dislike) where the trending would have had losses. But Thursday seemed good trending, even extremely good, probably recuperating the losses or coming close. Then Friday is unclear with the trending platform closing at –18 and the ranging one at –40.

I’m so glad I’m back (although I did enjoy the vacation, very nice lake, etc.). I’ll get some laundry done and stuff like that and hope to write up on how to manage trades a bit later, as I’ve mentioned before leaving. I have also been redoing massive retesting in the last few weeks (because I like to test, re-test and then re-test) and the results are outstanding. We’ll be entering in an excellent period somewhere in August (end of) or beginning of Sept, so stay tuned. Why am I saying this? Well because I do my tests on “periods” of the year, and the period for which I did the most testing is Aug to Jan. I’ll continue testing and optimizing for the period Jan to July (with the new data now collected for 2009 - excellent results as well so far) and let you all know about the results.

Phew, ok, I’m off. I’m so happy, I’ll be seeing you (manner of speaking) at market open TOMORROW !!!! Yayyyyyyyyy!

Back up again

July 20, 2009

Well FX Open still weren't "open" (no pun intended) yesterday at 21h (EST) so I gave up on them and went back to my former broker.

The good thing is restarting all over again just takes minutes because of the templates and set files. So here we go again, a new week starts and after seeing which platform was ahead, I didn't hesitate and I'm going trending for the week. We'll see how it plays out. For now, we've got 4 open trades since market open, all in the green:

No connection...

July 18, 2009 Saturday afternoon

I had problems AGAIN with my broker disconnecting, this time for 9 hours on Thursday. And today, same thing, I can’t access my accounts because of no connection. If I don’t get a live feed before tomorrow noon, I’m going to find another broker and start all over again. This is becoming quite annoying, to say the least.

This means I had 4 trades open much too late, so my data is, once again, not good. However, we can still see the overall picture. The first 3 days of the week continued to be very much trending, but the last 2 were mixed. The ranging actually did better these last 2 days. So next week is uncertain, but we'll see what happens.

In the meantime, I’m preparing something about how to manage trades and also a bit of clarification on to how to use the observation platforms. I’m also in the process of preparing a FAQ based on questions from the readership. I’m also doing some tests, continuing my tweaking for the scalping approach plus we might travel for a few days. In other words, bizzi bizzi bizzi and progressing nicely.

Alright back at market open. Have a good one all.

We're flying !

July 15, 2009

Told you July was something else. This is what I just woke up to...

Up at +700 after only 2 days

July 14, 2009

Well my moving average problems don’t seem to be as bad as I thought – they might not yet be completely in sync but I checked the values with my other broker and it’s close enough. As you can see, apart from the last 3 trades (recent) all is well, for a current total of +707.


And I stress these are only trades from yesterday, so that’s 350 pips/day.

Update (at 6 pm):

It just touched +800...

Broker problems again

July 13, 2009

Yesterday, my broker disconnected and STAYED THIS WAY FOR 11 CONSECUTIVE HOURS! Do you know what this means? Well it means I’m missing 11 hours worth of data and all of my moving averages are s-c-r-e-w-e-d grrrrrrrrrr. Bad day.

<

This is gbpchf I think, it doesn’t matter, all the pairs have this 11-hour gap. I’ll need to wait a couple of days for things to get back to normal. The trending platform still seems to be ahead of the ranging but I’ll have to wait for the averages to even out before I can see clearly.

Not in a good mood, so I’ll end here.

Choppy open

July 12, 2009

Choppy open tonight hehehe up, down, up, down... Sunday evenings are sometimes full of special effects BADABOUM! then sometimes Sundays are like this, choppy, choppy, choppy as markets are saying "Doh, I dunno".

We're still up +200 pips in the trending platform so we'll wait as things unfold.

Happy trading to all for the upcoming week and welcome to all the new members of the "gang".

Stop loss or no stop loss – that is the question…

July 10, 2009

Another beautiful trading week comes to an end as we finish once again in nice profit.

People sometimes wonder about the question I put up there, and I’d like to write a bit about this. This applies to any trading system, not just the one we’re trading here.

Now, there are 2 aspects to stop losses:

1. You place a stop loss in case the market goes against your trade. It eventually gets hit. You take the loss with dignity. You were wrong, period (it happens). You accept this fact.
2. No sooner than seconds after you’ve just told yourself the above, the market turns back in your direction and (a) not only brings the price back to where you entered (you would have now been break-even) but even more insulting, (b) it goes past your entry ! (you would now be into profit).

So not only did you take a loss, you also LOST an opportunity to make this potential profit which is now staring you in the face. Everybody should hate stop losses!!!

After a few times of being humiliated (not to mention ROBBED), you decide that next time, you simply WON’T put a stop loss and just take the drawdown until it comes back, since it seems it always does, you might even take another trade in the same direction to “cost average”.

But guess what? THIS TIME, it never comes back. And had you put a SL, you would have been taken out at, say –80 where now you’re looking at a double loss now totalling –663 and your margin is shrinking fast…

Others will place very small stop losses thinking they won’t hurt cause they’ll be so small. Problem here is they’ll constantly get hit by wicks or fast market movements.

So what to do about stop losses? Well, for our system, we’ve got stop losses on all our pairs which I have optimized, as you know. Once a trade is in profit in your account, you can then adjust the stop loss to your liking. The initial SLs are there more as protection for what I wrote in this forum some time ago:

About the question of using SLs (Stop Losses) or not, it all depends on your strategy, of course, but I would advise to ALWAYS put one, even it it's very far, because the following can happen:

1. You lose power due to all sorts of reasons for a long period
2. You lose your internet connection for a long period
3. Your broker disconnects for lengthy periods of time

4. Your computer dies on you and it takes 3 days to get it repaired and you live in a remote area where you don't have easy access to another computer.
5. You are the victim of a natural catastrophe (big storm, earthquake, flood) and can't access your account for a long period

Being in a trade which goes against you and not being able to access your account is no fun, but being in this situation and NOT HAVING A STOP LOSS in place will make matters much worse. So, just put one to make sure you don't lose your shirt. We never know what can happen.

I didn’t come up with the idea, I had read it in a forum myself a few years ago and I still believe it’s good advice. You’ll do whatever you want in your account, because it’s YOUR account. But remember we never know what can happen. I live in a very quiet place, not a “danger” area at all but in the last decade we’ve had a major earthquake AND a major flood (these things happen like once in every 100,000 years here) but see they did happen. So please, think about it if you’re inclined to not put stop losses.

Hey HAVE A GREAT WEEK-END EVERYONE thanks for all your nice emails/comments and SEE YOU AT MARKET OPEN !!!!

New account going strong

July 9, 2009

For those of you just starting out, this is what your screen should look like right now (14:00 EST).



This is the trending platform with my new demo and you can see from the "time" column that these trades have only been since yesterday (1 yesterday and 6 today) and we're already well above +600.

Now, if you manage your trades in your account like I do, you might have exited gbpaud when it started showing signs of upwards exhaustion. I did yesterday for +110 (it's currently up at +366 so it might have been better to trail the stop, but I'm always happy to pocket pips (pip pocket!) for any amount.

So you can't say this is hard, really you simply do nothing and less than 2 days later you're up +600 pips... Did I mention I love trading forex ;-)

Peace